Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.002228 0.002387 0.002554 0.002740 0.002942 0.003156 0.003400
2024-12-15 0.002005 0.002230 0.002474 0.002760 0.003086 0.003448 0.003882
2024-12-22 0.001844 0.002112 0.002414 0.002780 0.003215 0.003718 0.004347
2024-12-29 0.001697 0.001991 0.002332 0.002760 0.003285 0.003913 0.004729
2025-01-05 0.001581 0.001894 0.002267 0.002746 0.003352 0.004101 0.005106
2025-01-12 0.001465 0.001787 0.002177 0.002692 0.003360 0.004207 0.005380
2025-01-19 0.001379 0.001710 0.002119 0.002670 0.003401 0.004353 0.005709
2025-01-26 0.001268 0.001593 0.002002 0.002562 0.003321 0.004330 0.005801
2025-02-02 0.001241 0.001582 0.002019 0.002629 0.003475 0.004628 0.006356
2025-02-09 0.001207 0.001559 0.002018 0.002672 0.003596 0.004884 0.006866
2025-02-16 0.001202 0.001575 0.002069 0.002786 0.003821 0.005299 0.007637
2025-02-23 0.001156 0.001531 0.002036 0.002779 0.003872 0.005463 0.008038
2025-03-02 0.001101 0.001477 0.001990 0.002760 0.003914 0.005634 0.008492
2025-03-09 0.001051 0.001427 0.001948 0.002743 0.003960 0.005813 0.008977
2025-03-16 0.001010 0.001388 0.001921 0.002746 0.004035 0.006044 0.009567
2025-03-23 0.000964 0.001340 0.001875 0.002719 0.004061 0.006196 0.010036
2025-03-30 0.000925 0.001298 0.001838 0.002702 0.004100 0.006371 0.010560
2025-04-06 0.000878 0.001244 0.001780 0.002648 0.004075 0.006436 0.010889
2025-04-13 0.000844 0.001206 0.001743 0.002625 0.004100 0.006586 0.011384
2025-04-20 0.000790 0.001138 0.001657 0.002519 0.003978 0.006472 0.011373
2025-04-27 0.000782 0.001138 0.001677 0.002585 0.004151 0.006890 0.012422
2025-05-04 0.000768 0.001129 0.001682 0.002627 0.004285 0.007244 0.013381
2025-05-11 0.000771 0.001145 0.001727 0.002738 0.004548 0.007859 0.014935